Anthropic Accepts 33% Extinction Risk: The Price of AI

A Stanford economist calculated that accepting a 33% risk of human extinction is mathematically “optimal” because of AI’s benefits. Anthropic, the company that promised to put safety first, just hired him.

In this episode, we analyze Chad Jones’s paper—now at the Anthropic Institute—and the contradiction no one can ignore: the company most vocal about existential risk is backing a theoretical framework that accepts a one-in-three chance of humanity disappearing. We also explore what it says about military uses of Claude, who decides AI’s future, and through what democratic process—or lack thereof—these decisions that affect us all are made.

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