AI Will Replace Programmers: Truth or Corporate Excuse?

SAP’s CEO just said that in 4 years, no one at his company will write code the way they do today. Is this a genuine prediction about AI, or the perfect narrative to justify massive layoffs across a workforce of 30,000 developers?

We analyze the real data: studies showing twice as many serious errors in AI-generated code, declining confidence among the programmers who use these tools the most, and why enterprise domain knowledge—not the code itself—is what no model can replace yet. The fork in the road ahead is neither apocalypse nor fairy tale: it is more complex and uncomfortable than either headline suggests.

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