← All episodes

Does matching data predict a collapse?

November 6, 2026
Does matching data predict a collapse? Watch on YouTube

In my view, that is the specific limitation of the 2021 comparison as the video presents it. The follow-up compares data observed up to that point with trajectories based on different assumptions about innovation, production, and resource use. The fact that the data more closely resemble Business as Usual 2 than the stabilized wor

In my view, that is the specific limitation of the 2021 comparison as the video presents it. The follow-up compares data observed up to that point with trajectories based on different assumptions about innovation, production, and resource use. The fact that the data more closely resemble Business as Usual 2 than the stabilized world up to that point does not demonstrate that the assumptions leading to its declines will hold afterward. Nor does it demonstrate, on its own, that a collapse is ahead of schedule. Supporting that conclusion would require more than pointing to a resemblance to the portion of a scenario already observed.

Full episode: https://youtu.be/ASjOrMW6QyE

🤖 AI-generated content: the script, voices, and images in this episode were produced using artificial intelligence tools.

#Shorts

Enjoyed the episode? Buy me a coffee ☕